HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
68.0%
朝紅龍 (R=1681)
vs
32.0%
正代 (R=1547)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝紅龍) | 51.5% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 23.5pt |
Positive = 朝紅龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝紅龍 | 正代 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1681 (2026-09) | 1889 (2020-09) |
| Career bouts | 383 | 1,048 |
| Wins | 207 | 532 |
| Losses | 163 | 494 |
| Win rate | 55.9% | 52.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #13 | Maegashira #11 |
| Active period | 2021-05 〜 2026-09 | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝紅龍 | vs | 正代 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 3 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 11 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 6 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 3 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.