HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
69.1%
朝紅龍 (R=1681)
vs
30.9%
湘南乃海 (R=1538)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝紅龍) | 49.1% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -15.7pt |
Positive = 朝紅龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝紅龍 | 湘南乃海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1681 (2026-09) | 1692 (2023-07) |
| Career bouts | 383 | 705 |
| Wins | 207 | 369 |
| Losses | 163 | 336 |
| Win rate | 55.9% | 52.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #13 | Maegashira #17 |
| Active period | 2021-05 〜 2026-09 | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝紅龍 | vs | 湘南乃海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11 | 7 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 14 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 5 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 2 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 4 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 10 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.