HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
58.7%
朝紅龍 (R=1666)
vs
41.3%
翔猿 (R=1604)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝紅龍) | 45.2% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 29.8pt |
Positive = 朝紅龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝紅龍 | 翔猿 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1666 (2026-07) | 1763 (2023-07) |
| Career bouts | 368 | 888 |
| Wins | 198 | 451 |
| Losses | 157 | 426 |
| Win rate | 55.7% | 51.5% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #13 | Maegashira #14 |
| Active period | 2021-05 〜 2026-07 | 2015-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝紅龍 | vs | 翔猿 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 12 | 38% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 15 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 7 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 1 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.