HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
73.4%
朝紅龍 (R=1681)
vs
26.6%
御嶽海 (R=1501)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝紅龍) | 50.0% |
| Actual win rate | 40.0% |
| Delta | -10.0pt |
Positive = 朝紅龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝紅龍 | 御嶽海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1681 (2026-09) | 1906 (2022-03) |
| Career bouts | 383 | 1,019 |
| Wins | 207 | 533 |
| Losses | 163 | 464 |
| Win rate | 55.9% | 53.6% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #9 | Juryo #9 |
| Active period | 2021-05 〜 2026-09 | 2015-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝紅龍 | vs | 御嶽海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03 | 6 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 11 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 10 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 8 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 10 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.