HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.0%
朝紅龍 (R=1681)
vs
55.0%
平戸海 (R=1716)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝紅龍) | 43.7% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 56.3pt |
Positive = 朝紅龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝紅龍 | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1681 (2026-09) | 1808 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 383 | 677 |
| Wins | 207 | 356 |
| Losses | 163 | 312 |
| Win rate | 55.9% | 53.2% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #13 | Maegashira #8 |
| Active period | 2021-05 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝紅龍 | vs | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 12 | 44% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.