HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
49.0%
朝紅龍 (R=1666)
vs
51.0%
狼雅 (R=1673)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝紅龍) | 46.4% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 3.6pt |
Positive = 朝紅龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝紅龍 | 狼雅 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1666 (2026-07) | 1673 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 369 | 500 |
| Wins | 199 | 272 |
| Losses | 157 | 215 |
| Win rate | 55.9% | 55.7% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #13 | Maegashira #5 |
| Active period | 2021-05 〜 2026-07 | 2019-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝紅龍 | vs | 狼雅 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | 11 | 40% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 8 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 5 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 14 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.