HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
49.1%
朝紅龍 (R=1394)
vs
50.9%
狼雅 (R=1400)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝紅龍) | 47.6% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 2.4pt |
Positive = 朝紅龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝紅龍 | 狼雅 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1559 (2021-07) | 1478 (2019-03) |
| Career bouts | 368 | 499 |
| Wins | 198 | 272 |
| Losses | 157 | 214 |
| Win rate | 55.7% | 55.9% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #16 | Maegashira #8 |
| Active period | 2021-05 〜 2026-07 | 2019-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝紅龍 | vs | 狼雅 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | 11 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 8 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 5 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 14 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.