HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
41.4%
宮乃風 (R=1383)
vs
58.6%
木竜皇 (R=1445)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (宮乃風) | 48.9% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -23.9pt |
Positive = 宮乃風 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 宮乃風 | 木竜皇 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1506 (2025-03) | 1556 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 234 | 234 |
| Wins | 118 | 117 |
| Losses | 96 | 72 |
| Win rate | 55.1% | 62.0% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #32 | Sandanme #2 |
| Active period | 2021-07 〜 2026-09 | 2021-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 宮乃風 | vs | 木竜皇 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07 | 12 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-11 | 7 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-03 | 4 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 1 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.