HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.0%
翔大夢 (R=824)
vs
56.0%
大天狗 (R=867)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (翔大夢) | 70.6% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 29.4pt |
Positive = 翔大夢 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 翔大夢 | 大天狗 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1008 (2021-09) | 867 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 203 | 140 |
| Wins | 96 | 66 |
| Losses | 97 | 74 |
| Win rate | 49.5% | 47.1% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #32 | Jonidan #26 |
| Active period | 2021-09 〜 2026-09 | 2023-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 翔大夢 | vs | 大天狗 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03 | 8 | 71% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.