HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
53.3%
翔大夢 (R=762)
vs
46.7%
大天狗 (R=738)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (翔大夢) | 64.4% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 35.6pt |
Positive = 翔大夢 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 翔大夢 | 大天狗 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 907 (2021-09) | 738 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 203 | 140 |
| Wins | 96 | 66 |
| Losses | 97 | 74 |
| Win rate | 49.5% | 47.1% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #18 | Jonidan #20 |
| Active period | 2021-09 〜 2026-05 | 2023-03 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 翔大夢 | vs | 大天狗 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03 | 8 | 64% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.