HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
36.9%
欧勝馬 (R=1652)
vs
63.1%
大栄翔 (R=1747)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (欧勝馬) | 32.5% |
| Actual win rate | 40.0% |
| Delta | 7.5pt |
Positive = 欧勝馬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 欧勝馬 | 大栄翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1732 (2025-05) | 1866 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 418 | 1,196 |
| Wins | 212 | 637 |
| Losses | 198 | 529 |
| Win rate | 51.8% | 55.0% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #5 | Komusubi |
| Active period | 2021-11 〜 2026-09 | 2012-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 欧勝馬 | vs | 大栄翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11 | 13 | 31% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 8 | 25% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 12 | 35% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 7 | 38% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 14 | 33% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.