HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
46.0%
欧勝馬 (R=1652)
vs
54.0%
朝紅龍 (R=1681)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (欧勝馬) | 51.3% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -1.3pt |
Positive = 欧勝馬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 欧勝馬 | 朝紅龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1732 (2025-05) | 1681 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 425 | 390 |
| Wins | 217 | 208 |
| Losses | 200 | 169 |
| Win rate | 52.2% | 55.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #9 | Maegashira #9 |
| Active period | 2021-11 〜 2026-09 | 2021-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 欧勝馬 | vs | 朝紅龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03 | 14 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 13 | 61% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 1 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 4 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.