HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
66.8%
金峰山 (R=1675)
vs
33.2%
千代翔馬 (R=1551)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (10 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (金峰山) | 55.1% |
| Actual win rate | 40.0% |
| Delta | -15.1pt |
Positive = 金峰山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 金峰山 | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1720 (2025-05) | 1714 (2025-01) |
| Career bouts | 410 | 1,222 |
| Wins | 221 | 601 |
| Losses | 185 | 599 |
| Win rate | 54.4% | 50.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #7 | Juryo #1 |
| Active period | 2021-11 〜 2026-09 | 2009-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (10)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 金峰山 | vs | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03 | 8 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 8 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 12 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 11 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 8 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 11 | 64% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 7 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 12 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 13 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 9 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.