HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.5%
金峰山 (R=1405)
vs
45.5%
千代翔馬 (R=1374)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (9 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (金峰山) | 55.7% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -22.3pt |
Positive = 金峰山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 金峰山 | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1528 (2021-11) | 1411 (2025-03) |
| Career bouts | 395 | 1,207 |
| Wins | 212 | 596 |
| Losses | 179 | 589 |
| Win rate | 54.2% | 50.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #14 | Maegashira #10 |
| Active period | 2021-11 〜 2026-07 | 2009-07 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (9)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 金峰山 | vs | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03 | 8 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 8 | 60% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 12 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 11 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 8 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 11 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 7 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 12 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 13 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.