HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
39.9%
金峰山 (R=1675)
vs
60.1%
大栄翔 (R=1747)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (金峰山) | 28.5% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | 4.8pt |
Positive = 金峰山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 金峰山 | 大栄翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1720 (2025-05) | 1866 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 417 | 1,203 |
| Wins | 226 | 639 |
| Losses | 186 | 534 |
| Win rate | 54.9% | 54.9% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #7 | Maegashira #4 |
| Active period | 2021-11 〜 2026-09 | 2012-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 金峰山 | vs | 大栄翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01 | 14 | 26% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 3 | 26% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 5 | 34% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.