HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
55.5%
金峰山 (R=1405)
vs
44.5%
御嶽海 (R=1367)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (11 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (金峰山) | 50.4% |
| Actual win rate | 63.6% |
| Delta | 13.2pt |
Positive = 金峰山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 金峰山 | 御嶽海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1528 (2021-11) | 1572 (2022-03) |
| Career bouts | 395 | 1,004 |
| Wins | 212 | 528 |
| Losses | 179 | 454 |
| Win rate | 54.2% | 53.9% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #14 | Maegashira #11 |
| Active period | 2021-11 〜 2026-07 | 2015-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (11)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 金峰山 | vs | 御嶽海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05 | 4 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-09 | 4 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-11 | 12 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 8 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 9 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 15 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 7 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 12 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 2 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 15 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.