HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
64.3%
金峰山 (R=1644)
vs
35.7%
御嶽海 (R=1540)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (11 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (金峰山) | 52.8% |
| Actual win rate | 63.6% |
| Delta | 10.8pt |
Positive = 金峰山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 金峰山 | 御嶽海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1720 (2025-05) | 1906 (2022-03) |
| Career bouts | 396 | 1,005 |
| Wins | 213 | 528 |
| Losses | 179 | 455 |
| Win rate | 54.3% | 53.8% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #10 | Juryo #4 |
| Active period | 2021-11 〜 2026-07 | 2015-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (11)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 金峰山 | vs | 御嶽海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05 | 4 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-09 | 4 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-11 | 12 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 8 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 9 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 15 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 7 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 12 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 2 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 15 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.