HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.6%
琴栄峰 (R=1722)
vs
54.4%
朝乃山 (R=1753)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (琴栄峰) | 33.2% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 16.8pt |
Positive = 琴栄峰 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 琴栄峰 | 朝乃山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1749 (2026-07) | 1903 (2020-07) |
| Career bouts | 292 | 817 |
| Wins | 172 | 435 |
| Losses | 117 | 213 |
| Win rate | 59.5% | 66.7% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #6 | Maegashira #1 |
| Active period | 2022-03 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 琴栄峰 | vs | 朝乃山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | 4 | 23% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 12 | 28% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 12 | 37% | □ | vs | ■ |
| 2026-07 | 14 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.