HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.1%
琴栄峰 (R=1750)
vs
45.9%
朝乃山 (R=1721)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (琴栄峰) | 33.2% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 16.8pt |
Positive = 琴栄峰 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 琴栄峰 | 朝乃山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1750 (2026-07) | 1903 (2020-07) |
| Career bouts | 278 | 803 |
| Wins | 167 | 426 |
| Losses | 108 | 208 |
| Win rate | 60.6% | 66.8% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #1 | Maegashira #6 |
| Active period | 2022-03 〜 2026-07 | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 琴栄峰 | vs | 朝乃山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | 4 | 23% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 12 | 28% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 12 | 37% | □ | vs | ■ |
| 2026-07 | 14 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.