HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
35.5%
琴栄峰 (R=1419)
vs
64.5%
朝乃山 (R=1523)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (琴栄峰) | 26.5% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 23.5pt |
Positive = 琴栄峰 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 琴栄峰 | 朝乃山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1481 (2022-05) | 1591 (2023-05) |
| Career bouts | 277 | 802 |
| Wins | 167 | 425 |
| Losses | 107 | 208 |
| Win rate | 60.9% | 66.7% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #7 | Maegashira #10 |
| Active period | 2022-03 〜 2026-07 | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 琴栄峰 | vs | 朝乃山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | 4 | 22% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 12 | 24% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 12 | 28% | □ | vs | ■ |
| 2026-07 | 14 | 32% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.