HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
52.8%
花の海 (R=1422)
vs
47.2%
小原 (R=1402)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (花の海) | 52.0% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -2.0pt |
Positive = 花の海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 花の海 | 小原 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1444 (2025-09) | 1441 (2024-09) |
| Career bouts | 182 | 465 |
| Wins | 101 | 240 |
| Losses | 72 | 201 |
| Win rate | 58.6% | 54.2% |
| Current rank | Makushita #29 | Makushita #18 |
| Active period | 2022-03 〜 2026-09 | 2015-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 花の海 | vs | 小原 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09 | 12 | 74% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-09 | 4 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-11 | 1 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-01 | 9 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 13 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 4 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.