HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
48.6%
大青山 (R=1364)
vs
51.4%
千代翔馬 (R=1374)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大青山) | 47.6% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -47.6pt |
Positive = 大青山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大青山 | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1430 (2022-07) | 1411 (2025-03) |
| Career bouts | 285 | 1,207 |
| Wins | 159 | 596 |
| Losses | 110 | 589 |
| Win rate | 59.4% | 50.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #16 | Maegashira #10 |
| Active period | 2022-03 〜 2026-07 | 2009-07 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大青山 | vs | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09 | 2 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 14 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.