HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.8%
大青山 (R=1590)
vs
55.2%
出羽ノ龍 (R=1627)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大青山) | 47.6% |
| Actual win rate | 40.0% |
| Delta | -7.6pt |
Positive = 大青山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大青山 | 出羽ノ龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1600 (2026-05) | 1627 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 307 | 327 |
| Wins | 169 | 194 |
| Losses | 122 | 122 |
| Win rate | 58.4% | 61.2% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #17 | Maegashira #14 |
| Active period | 2022-03 〜 2026-09 | 2020-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大青山 | vs | 出羽ノ龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01 | 1 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 13 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 6 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 2 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 7 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.