HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
50.4%
大青山 (R=1590)
vs
49.6%
旭海雄 (R=1587)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大青山) | 48.3% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 18.3pt |
Positive = 大青山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大青山 | 旭海雄 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1600 (2026-05) | 1609 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 300 | 167 |
| Wins | 167 | 107 |
| Losses | 117 | 60 |
| Win rate | 59.1% | 64.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #17 | Maegashira #16 |
| Active period | 2022-03 〜 2026-09 | 2024-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大青山 | vs | 旭海雄 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 11 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 8 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 1 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.