HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
70.8%
大青山 (R=1590)
vs
29.2%
佐田の海 (R=1432)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大青山) | 58.3% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -8.3pt |
Positive = 大青山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大青山 | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1600 (2026-05) | 1692 (2015-07) |
| Career bouts | 300 | 1,628 |
| Wins | 167 | 791 |
| Losses | 117 | 829 |
| Win rate | 59.1% | 48.9% |
| Current rank | Juryo #2 | Juryo #5 |
| Active period | 2022-03 〜 2026-09 | 2003-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大青山 | vs | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 7 | 60% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 5 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 3 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 6 | 63% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.