HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.7%
羽出山 (R=1318)
vs
55.3%
明生 (R=1356)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (羽出山) | 43.4% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 56.6pt |
Positive = 羽出山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 羽出山 | 明生 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1338 (2025-11) | 1445 (2021-11) |
| Career bouts | 266 | 1,077 |
| Wins | 145 | 532 |
| Losses | 118 | 520 |
| Win rate | 54.9% | 50.8% |
| Current rank | Juryo #8 | Juryo #7 |
| Active period | 2022-03 〜 2026-07 | 2011-05 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 羽出山 | vs | 明生 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 7 | 42% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 9 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 4 | 44% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.