HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
48.3%
羽出山 (R=1463)
vs
51.7%
明生 (R=1476)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (羽出山) | 51.9% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 23.1pt |
Positive = 羽出山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 羽出山 | 明生 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1620 (2025-11) | 1768 (2021-07) |
| Career bouts | 284 | 1,095 |
| Wins | 151 | 540 |
| Losses | 131 | 531 |
| Win rate | 53.4% | 50.7% |
| Current rank | Juryo #14 | Juryo #13 |
| Active period | 2022-03 〜 2026-09 | 2011-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 羽出山 | vs | 明生 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 7 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 9 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 4 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 12 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.