HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.8%
羽出山 (R=1463)
vs
55.2%
御嶽海 (R=1501)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (羽出山) | 48.7% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -15.4pt |
Positive = 羽出山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 羽出山 | 御嶽海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1620 (2025-11) | 1906 (2022-03) |
| Career bouts | 284 | 1,019 |
| Wins | 151 | 533 |
| Losses | 131 | 464 |
| Win rate | 53.4% | 53.6% |
| Current rank | Juryo #8 | Juryo #4 |
| Active period | 2022-03 〜 2026-09 | 2015-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 羽出山 | vs | 御嶽海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 5 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 11 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 15 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.