HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
39.3%
羽出山 (R=1318)
vs
60.7%
旭海雄 (R=1394)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (羽出山) | 34.2% |
| Actual win rate | 40.0% |
| Delta | 5.8pt |
Positive = 羽出山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 羽出山 | 旭海雄 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1338 (2025-11) | 1418 (2024-09) |
| Career bouts | 266 | 149 |
| Wins | 145 | 96 |
| Losses | 118 | 52 |
| Win rate | 54.9% | 64.9% |
| Current rank | Juryo #8 | Juryo #1 |
| Active period | 2022-03 〜 2026-07 | 2024-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 羽出山 | vs | 旭海雄 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09 | 11 | 27% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 11 | 28% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 12 | 35% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 8 | 39% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 3 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 12 | 39% | — | vs | — |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.