HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.4%
羽出山 (R=1463)
vs
45.6%
佐田の海 (R=1432)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (羽出山) | 55.4% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -5.4pt |
Positive = 羽出山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 羽出山 | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1620 (2025-11) | 1692 (2015-07) |
| Career bouts | 291 | 1,635 |
| Wins | 152 | 793 |
| Losses | 137 | 834 |
| Win rate | 52.4% | 48.8% |
| Current rank | Juryo #14 | Juryo #11 |
| Active period | 2022-03 〜 2026-09 | 2003-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 羽出山 | vs | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 7 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 7 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



