HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
46.6%
豪刃雄 (R=1248)
vs
53.4%
荒篤山 (R=1272)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (豪刃雄) | 45.5% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 54.5pt |
Positive = 豪刃雄 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 豪刃雄 | 荒篤山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1501 (2022-03) | 1313 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 182 | 810 |
| Wins | 104 | 401 |
| Losses | 78 | 397 |
| Win rate | 57.1% | 50.3% |
| Current rank | Makushita #2 | Makushita #5 |
| Active period | 2022-03 〜 2026-05 | 2009-09 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 豪刃雄 | vs | 荒篤山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 15 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.