HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
52.8%
豪刃雄 (R=1494)
vs
47.2%
夢道鵬 (R=1474)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (豪刃雄) | 54.1% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -4.1pt |
Positive = 豪刃雄 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 豪刃雄 | 夢道鵬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1557 (2022-05) | 1475 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 182 | 274 |
| Wins | 104 | 143 |
| Losses | 78 | 121 |
| Win rate | 57.1% | 54.6% |
| Current rank | Makushita #7 | Makushita #6 |
| Active period | 2022-03 〜 2026-09 | 2020-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 豪刃雄 | vs | 夢道鵬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09 | 14 | 60% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 9 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 1 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 1 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.