HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
40.4%
旭水野 (R=1330)
vs
59.6%
大雄翔 (R=1400)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (旭水野) | 36.2% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -36.2pt |
Positive = 旭水野 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 旭水野 | 大雄翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1348 (2026-07) | 1425 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 175 | 338 |
| Wins | 96 | 172 |
| Losses | 76 | 114 |
| Win rate | 55.5% | 59.9% |
| Current rank | Makushita #12 | Makushita #8 |
| Active period | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 旭水野 | vs | 大雄翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 8 | 36% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.