HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
52.5%
山藤 (R=1234)
vs
47.5%
大新海 (R=1216)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (山藤) | 43.5% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 6.5pt |
Positive = 山藤 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 山藤 | 大新海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1475 (2022-05) | 1300 (2019-07) |
| Career bouts | 193 | 312 |
| Wins | 98 | 158 |
| Losses | 87 | 147 |
| Win rate | 52.4% | 51.6% |
| Current rank | Makushita #48 | Makushita #43 |
| Active period | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 | 2019-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 山藤 | vs | 大新海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11 | 11 | 34% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 7 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.