HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
25.1%
出羽乃若 (R=731)
vs
74.9%
井畑 (R=938)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (出羽乃若) | 14.6% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -14.6pt |
Positive = 出羽乃若 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 出羽乃若 | 井畑 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1256 (2022-05) | 1097 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 186 | 18 |
| Wins | 68 | 10 |
| Losses | 90 | 8 |
| Win rate | 43.2% | 55.6% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #38 | Jonidan #37 |
| Active period | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 | 2026-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 出羽乃若 | vs | 井畑 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 3 | 4% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 3 | 25% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.