HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
61.5%
出羽乃若 (R=731)
vs
38.5%
千代の貴 (R=642)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (出羽乃若) | 4.0% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 96.0pt |
Positive = 出羽乃若 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 出羽乃若 | 千代の貴 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1256 (2022-05) | 642 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 176 | 1 |
| Wins | 63 | 0 |
| Losses | 84 | 0 |
| Win rate | 43.0% | — |
| Current rank | Jonidan #38 | Jonidan #58 |
| Active period | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 | 2026-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 出羽乃若 | vs | 千代の貴 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 5 | 4% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.