HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
62.9%
丹治 (R=1536)
vs
37.1%
栃幸大 (R=1443)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (丹治) | 52.8% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -19.4pt |
Positive = 丹治 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 丹治 | 栃幸大 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1536 (2026-09) | 1448 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 197 | 381 |
| Wins | 117 | 201 |
| Losses | 72 | 176 |
| Win rate | 61.5% | 53.3% |
| Current rank | Juryo #7 | Makushita #7 |
| Active period | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 丹治 | vs | 栃幸大 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11 | 5 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 8 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 9 | 61% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.