HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
58.8%
丹治 (R=1245)
vs
41.2%
栃幸大 (R=1184)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (丹治) | 53.2% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -3.2pt |
Positive = 丹治 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 丹治 | 栃幸大 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1482 (2022-05) | 1360 (2017-05) |
| Career bouts | 175 | 381 |
| Wins | 105 | 201 |
| Losses | 63 | 176 |
| Win rate | 61.8% | 53.3% |
| Current rank | Makushita #1 | Makushita #5 |
| Active period | 2022-05 〜 2026-05 | 2017-03 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 丹治 | vs | 栃幸大 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11 | 5 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 8 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.