HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
48.7%
丹治 (R=1245)
vs
51.3%
大皇翔 (R=1254)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (丹治) | 48.6% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 1.4pt |
Positive = 丹治 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 丹治 | 大皇翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1482 (2022-05) | 1362 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 175 | 91 |
| Wins | 105 | 60 |
| Losses | 63 | 30 |
| Win rate | 61.8% | 67.0% |
| Current rank | Makushita #1 | Makushita #1 |
| Active period | 2022-05 〜 2026-05 | 2024-05 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 丹治 | vs | 大皇翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 12 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 5 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.