HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.6%
大凜山 (R=1177)
vs
55.4%
岡田 (R=1216)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大凜山) | 44.6% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 55.4pt |
Positive = 大凜山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大凜山 | 岡田 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1177 (2026-09) | 1234 (2026-03) |
| Career bouts | 192 | 81 |
| Wins | 103 | 47 |
| Losses | 89 | 32 |
| Win rate | 53.6% | 60.0% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #7 | Sandanme #5 |
| Active period | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 | 2025-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大凜山 | vs | 岡田 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 3 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.