HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
49.1%
嘉陽 (R=1541)
vs
50.9%
正代 (R=1547)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (嘉陽) | 46.1% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 3.9pt |
Positive = 嘉陽 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 嘉陽 | 正代 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1575 (2025-05) | 1889 (2020-09) |
| Career bouts | 308 | 1,055 |
| Wins | 167 | 533 |
| Losses | 140 | 500 |
| Win rate | 54.5% | 52.1% |
| Current rank | Juryo #4 | Juryo #3 |
| Active period | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 嘉陽 | vs | 正代 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 9 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 2 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.