HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
53.9%
嘉陽 (R=1541)
vs
46.1%
炎鵬 (R=1513)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (嘉陽) | 45.7% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -45.7pt |
Positive = 嘉陽 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 嘉陽 | 炎鵬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1575 (2025-05) | 1707 (2017-09) |
| Career bouts | 301 | 650 |
| Wins | 164 | 308 |
| Losses | 136 | 259 |
| Win rate | 54.8% | 54.2% |
| Current rank | Juryo #4 | Juryo #10 |
| Active period | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 嘉陽 | vs | 炎鵬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 8 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 7 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.