HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
47.5%
雷道 (R=1313)
vs
52.5%
旭水野 (R=1330)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (雷道) | 47.5% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 52.5pt |
Positive = 雷道 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 雷道 | 旭水野 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1313 (2026-09) | 1348 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 186 | 192 |
| Wins | 104 | 102 |
| Losses | 82 | 87 |
| Win rate | 55.9% | 53.7% |
| Current rank | Makushita #23 | Makushita #22 |
| Active period | 2022-07 〜 2026-09 | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 雷道 | vs | 旭水野 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 3 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.