HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
59.0%
白熊 (R=1520)
vs
41.0%
栃大海 (R=1455)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (白熊) | 53.8% |
| Actual win rate | 20.0% |
| Delta | -33.8pt |
Positive = 白熊 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 白熊 | 栃大海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1594 (2024-07) | 1564 (2025-03) |
| Career bouts | 334 | 473 |
| Wins | 177 | 246 |
| Losses | 150 | 221 |
| Win rate | 53.9% | 52.6% |
| Current rank | Juryo #9 | Makushita #3 |
| Active period | 2022-07 〜 2026-09 | 2017-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 白熊 | vs | 栃大海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07 | 9 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 1 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 8 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 13 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 8 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.