HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
52.6%
朝白龍 (R=1399)
vs
47.4%
千代翔馬 (R=1381)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝白龍) | 53.6% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -3.6pt |
Positive = 朝白龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝白龍 | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1478 (2023-09) | 1411 (2025-03) |
| Career bouts | 192 | 1,204 |
| Wins | 123 | 594 |
| Losses | 68 | 587 |
| Win rate | 64.4% | 50.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #12 | Maegashira #10 |
| Active period | 2023-03 〜 2026-07 | 2009-07 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝白龍 | vs | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 10 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 6 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 8 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 4 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.