HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
62.1%
朝白龍 (R=1639)
vs
37.9%
千代翔馬 (R=1551)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝白龍) | 55.5% |
| Actual win rate | 40.0% |
| Delta | -15.5pt |
Positive = 朝白龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝白龍 | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1683 (2026-03) | 1714 (2025-01) |
| Career bouts | 210 | 1,222 |
| Wins | 134 | 601 |
| Losses | 76 | 599 |
| Win rate | 63.8% | 50.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #11 | Juryo #1 |
| Active period | 2023-03 〜 2026-09 | 2009-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝白龍 | vs | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 10 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 6 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 8 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 4 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 4 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.