HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
64.2%
風栄大 (R=1225)
vs
35.8%
淡の海 (R=1121)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (風栄大) | 67.8% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -17.8pt |
Positive = 風栄大 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 風栄大 | 淡の海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1262 (2023-07) | 1193 (2018-07) |
| Career bouts | 147 | 334 |
| Wins | 80 | 169 |
| Losses | 66 | 157 |
| Win rate | 55.1% | 51.8% |
| Current rank | Makushita #57 | Sandanme #50 |
| Active period | 2023-01 〜 2026-09 | 2018-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 風栄大 | vs | 淡の海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07 | 10 | 74% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 10 | 71% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 12 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 8 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.