HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
51.0%
伯乃富士 (R=1754)
vs
49.0%
大栄翔 (R=1747)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (伯乃富士) | 45.2% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -20.2pt |
Positive = 伯乃富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 伯乃富士 | 大栄翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1800 (2026-07) | 1866 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 329 | 1,196 |
| Wins | 171 | 637 |
| Losses | 112 | 529 |
| Win rate | 60.2% | 55.0% |
| Current rank | Komusubi | Komusubi |
| Active period | 2023-01 〜 2026-09 | 2012-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 伯乃富士 | vs | 大栄翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | 10 | 30% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 9 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 1 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 6 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.