HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
59.9%
伯乃富士 (R=1489)
vs
40.1%
美ノ海 (R=1419)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (伯乃富士) | 68.0% |
| Actual win rate | 83.3% |
| Delta | 15.3pt |
Positive = 伯乃富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 伯乃富士 | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1578 (2024-01) | 1577 (2016-09) |
| Career bouts | 314 | 749 |
| Wins | 167 | 381 |
| Losses | 102 | 363 |
| Win rate | 61.7% | 51.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #3 | Maegashira #2 |
| Active period | 2023-01 〜 2026-07 | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 伯乃富士 | vs | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03 | 6 | 85% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-05 | 4 | 77% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 10 | 65% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 5 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 14 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 14 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.