HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.9%
伯乃富士 (R=1754)
vs
55.1%
美ノ海 (R=1791)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (7 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (伯乃富士) | 64.1% |
| Actual win rate | 71.4% |
| Delta | 7.3pt |
Positive = 伯乃富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 伯乃富士 | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1800 (2026-07) | 1791 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 329 | 764 |
| Wins | 171 | 391 |
| Losses | 112 | 368 |
| Win rate | 60.2% | 51.6% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #3 | Komusubi |
| Active period | 2023-01 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (7)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 伯乃富士 | vs | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03 | 6 | 83% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-05 | 4 | 75% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 10 | 62% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 5 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 14 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 14 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 1 | 60% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.