HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
32.1%
伯乃富士 (R=1754)
vs
67.9%
豊昇龍 (R=1887)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (伯乃富士) | 27.9% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | 5.4pt |
Positive = 伯乃富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 伯乃富士 | 豊昇龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1800 (2026-07) | 1978 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 336 | 696 |
| Wins | 173 | 404 |
| Losses | 117 | 230 |
| Win rate | 59.5% | 63.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #3 | Yokozuna |
| Active period | 2023-01 〜 2026-09 | 2018-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 伯乃富士 | vs | 豊昇龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07 | 15 | 37% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 11 | 23% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 3 | 31% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 1 | 27% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 7 | 23% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 6 | 28% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



