HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
56.8%
伯乃富士 (R=1489)
vs
43.2%
王鵬 (R=1442)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (伯乃富士) | 51.8% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -18.4pt |
Positive = 伯乃富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 伯乃富士 | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1578 (2024-01) | 1470 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 314 | 617 |
| Wins | 167 | 326 |
| Losses | 102 | 286 |
| Win rate | 61.7% | 53.5% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #3 | Komusubi |
| Active period | 2023-01 〜 2026-07 | 2018-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 伯乃富士 | vs | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 15 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 11 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 6 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 1 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 12 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 15 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.