HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
61.5%
伯乃富士 (R=1754)
vs
38.5%
王鵬 (R=1671)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (伯乃富士) | 44.0% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -10.7pt |
Positive = 伯乃富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 伯乃富士 | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1800 (2026-07) | 1830 (2025-01) |
| Career bouts | 329 | 632 |
| Wins | 171 | 333 |
| Losses | 112 | 294 |
| Win rate | 60.2% | 53.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #3 | Maegashira #10 |
| Active period | 2023-01 〜 2026-09 | 2018-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 伯乃富士 | vs | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 15 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 11 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 6 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 1 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 12 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 15 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.