HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
25.7%
伯乃富士 (R=1754)
vs
74.3%
大の里 (R=1943)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (7 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (伯乃富士) | 23.2% |
| Actual win rate | 42.9% |
| Delta | 19.7pt |
Positive = 伯乃富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 伯乃富士 | 大の里 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1800 (2026-07) | 2017 (2025-09) |
| Career bouts | 329 | 299 |
| Wins | 171 | 197 |
| Losses | 112 | 70 |
| Win rate | 60.2% | 73.6% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #3 | Yokozuna |
| Active period | 2023-01 〜 2026-09 | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (7)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 伯乃富士 | vs | 大の里 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | 12 | 20% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 8 | 17% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 4 | 20% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 2 | 20% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 8 | 20% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 7 | 30% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 10 | 36% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.