HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
57.8%
豪ノ湖 (R=1227)
vs
42.2%
天道山 (R=1171)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (豪ノ湖) | 56.8% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 43.2pt |
Positive = 豪ノ湖 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 豪ノ湖 | 天道山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1376 (2023-03) | 1468 (2020-03) |
| Career bouts | 140 | 259 |
| Wins | 75 | 138 |
| Losses | 34 | 105 |
| Win rate | 68.2% | 57.1% |
| Current rank | Makushita #9 | Makushita #17 |
| Active period | 2023-03 〜 2026-05 | 2020-03 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 豪ノ湖 | vs | 天道山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 12 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



