HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
46.6%
大天狗 (R=867)
vs
53.4%
幹希の里 (R=892)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大天狗) | 36.8% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 63.2pt |
Positive = 大天狗 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大天狗 | 幹希の里 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 867 (2026-09) | 1256 (2020-07) |
| Career bouts | 140 | 252 |
| Wins | 66 | 122 |
| Losses | 74 | 129 |
| Win rate | 47.1% | 48.4% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #54 | Jonidan #53 |
| Active period | 2023-03 〜 2026-09 | 2020-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大天狗 | vs | 幹希の里 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | 2 | 32% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 1 | 42% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.