HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
38.4%
藤ノ川 (R=1446)
vs
61.6%
琴櫻 (R=1529)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤ノ川) | 34.9% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -1.6pt |
Positive = 藤ノ川 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤ノ川 | 琴櫻 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1446 (2026-07) | 1575 (2024-11) |
| Career bouts | 232 | 777 |
| Wins | 137 | 449 |
| Losses | 87 | 302 |
| Win rate | 61.4% | 59.5% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #1 | Ozeki |
| Active period | 2023-03 〜 2026-07 | 2015-11 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤ノ川 | vs | 琴櫻 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 7 | 33% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 1 | 34% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 4 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.