HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
62.7%
藤ノ川 (R=1845)
vs
37.3%
朝乃山 (R=1753)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤ノ川) | 51.4% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -18.0pt |
Positive = 藤ノ川 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤ノ川 | 朝乃山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1845 (2026-09) | 1903 (2020-07) |
| Career bouts | 257 | 824 |
| Wins | 153 | 438 |
| Losses | 97 | 217 |
| Win rate | 61.4% | 66.5% |
| Current rank | Sekiwake | Maegashira #1 |
| Active period | 2023-03 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤ノ川 | vs | 朝乃山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 12 | 33% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 14 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 7 | 63% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.