HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
51.3%
藤ノ川 (R=1446)
vs
48.7%
平戸海 (R=1438)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤ノ川) | 47.9% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 52.1pt |
Positive = 藤ノ川 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤ノ川 | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1446 (2026-07) | 1444 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 232 | 659 |
| Wins | 137 | 344 |
| Losses | 87 | 305 |
| Win rate | 61.4% | 52.9% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #1 | Maegashira #3 |
| Active period | 2023-03 〜 2026-07 | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤ノ川 | vs | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 2 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 14 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 11 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.