HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.1%
藤ノ川 (R=1448)
vs
45.9%
美ノ海 (R=1419)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤ノ川) | 52.9% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -27.9pt |
Positive = 藤ノ川 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤ノ川 | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1448 (2026-07) | 1577 (2016-09) |
| Career bouts | 235 | 749 |
| Wins | 140 | 381 |
| Losses | 88 | 363 |
| Win rate | 61.6% | 51.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #1 | Maegashira #2 |
| Active period | 2023-03 〜 2026-07 | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤ノ川 | vs | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09 | 2 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 7 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 12 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 13 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.