HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
57.6%
藤ノ川 (R=1845)
vs
42.4%
美ノ海 (R=1791)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤ノ川) | 53.5% |
| Actual win rate | 20.0% |
| Delta | -33.5pt |
Positive = 藤ノ川 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤ノ川 | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1845 (2026-09) | 1791 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 250 | 764 |
| Wins | 151 | 391 |
| Losses | 92 | 368 |
| Win rate | 62.3% | 51.6% |
| Current rank | Sekiwake | Komusubi |
| Active period | 2023-03 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤ノ川 | vs | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09 | 2 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 7 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 12 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 13 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 13 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.