HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
47.9%
藤ノ川 (R=1446)
vs
52.1%
王鵬 (R=1461)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤ノ川) | 46.0% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 20.6pt |
Positive = 藤ノ川 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤ノ川 | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1446 (2026-07) | 1470 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 232 | 614 |
| Wins | 137 | 325 |
| Losses | 87 | 283 |
| Win rate | 61.4% | 53.7% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #1 | Komusubi |
| Active period | 2023-03 〜 2026-07 | 2018-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤ノ川 | vs | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 15 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 11 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 9 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.